Forecaster Predict Week-Long Hellish Heatwave in Upstate New York

Hotter than Heck!

Summer hasn't even started; that's on June 20th, but could we have had six consecutive days in the 90s here in Upstate New York next week? Forecasters say yes, and that would certainly qualify as a heatwave!

Meteorologists have a difficult enough time forecasting daily temperatures, let alone predicting the weather weeks out or even months ahead.  But if the information in this year's Farmer's Almanac is any indicator, local forecasters will call for even more hot weather that we're about to get next week.

"April and May will be warmer and wetter than usual. Summer temperatures will be above average, with rainfall below normal." - 2024 Farmer's Almanac

Historically, the hottest month in the Capital Region is July, where the average daily temperature is around 83 degrees.  August is the second-warmest, with an average temp of around 81, but for June, the average temp is 78 degrees.  But that average could tick upwards if we get the heatwave next week that forecasters are predicting.

Let the Heatwave Begin

According to the Weather Channel, temperatures could reach 90 degrees Fahrenheit six successive days next week.

Here's what the Farmer's Almanac predicted for the Spring and Summer of 2024: "Summer temperatures will be above average, with rainfall below normal. The hottest periods will be in early June and mid-July. September and October temperatures will average near normal, while rainfall will be below normal."

If we're to trust the Farmers Almanac, this mid-June heatwave will only be the beginning of a summer scorcher here in Upstate New York, as the almanac predicts the hottest days will be mid-July.

Is the Farmer's Almanac Accurate?

While I'm always interested to learn what the Farmer's Almanac says, like most, I've often wondered how accurate it is.

While the Almanac claims to be accurate, some meteorologists argue that the formula is outdated and not based on scientific data. The Almanac’s predictions also cover broad regions and may not be precise for a particular location.

Despite all that, the Almanac claims it's accurate about 80% of the time. Only time will tell if the Summer of 2024 plays out as it's being predicted in the Almanac.